NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 15, 2024
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Loiseau | 13 | 34 | 76.5% | 1 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 2 | Luke Phelan | 12 | 33 | 66.7% | 2 | 28.6 | 3 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 11 | 33 | 61.1% | 3 | 29.6 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 11 | 33 | 61.1% | 3 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 10 | 34 | 58.8% | 5 | 27.6 | 5 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 8 | 34 | 47.1% | 6 | 24.7 | 6 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 7 | 35 | 43.8% | 7 | 22.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Nick Boucher | 7 | 33 | 38.9% | 8 | 23.3 | 7 |
| 9 | Mike Thorne | 6 | 35 | 37.5% | 9 | 23.1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gavin Gray | 5 | 34 | 29.4% | 10 | 23.2 | 8 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 11.5 | DET | 0.59 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 11.2 | TB | 0.62 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 9.3 | NA | |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Houston Texans | 5 | 10.8 | GB | 0.41 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 10.2 | HOU | 0.59 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 7.6 | NO | 0.57 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 10.0 | SEA | 0.61 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 10.1 | CAR | 0.75 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 9.5 | KC | 0.55 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 11.0 | TEN | 0.77 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 9.4 | NYJ | 0.45 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 7.6 | ATL | 0.39 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 12.8 | SF | 0.45 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 8.6 | MIA | 0.61 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 6.2 | LA | 0.27 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 7.9 | NA | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 9.0 | ARI | 0.59 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 7.8 | DEN | 0.43 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 9.9 | NYG | 0.61 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 6.3 | IND | 0.39 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 6.3 | PHI | 0.39 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 10.1 | BAL | 0.38 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 8.1 | CLE | 0.72 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 5.1 | CIN | 0.28 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 4 | 11.3 | MIN | 0.41 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 5.7 | NE | 0.69 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 6.1 | BUF | 0.23 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 7.8 | LAC | 0.41 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 8.3 | PIT | 0.55 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 7.1 | LV | 0.73 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Houston Texans | 5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 9 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 13 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 19 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 15 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 26 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 10 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 12 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Draft Results
